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Red8
52958.5
298016.4
17788.5
Blue45
451312.0
323812.0
381215.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3435102025304045845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#18
16.42.7
12.79.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 0.5
15.91.0
9.510.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Second
5295
#33
8.52.7
6.63.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 3.5
4513
#29
12.01.0
12.713.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
1778
#23
8.52.7
13.210.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 3.5
12.01.0
11.012.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed