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Red46
408911.8
198319.5
430914.7
Blue48
41806.0
29039.4
580323.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433820305060704648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
16.917.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End5.8
blue by 3.5
23.11.3
19.721.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End6.8
Second
4309
#11
14.70.2
13.914.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End4.5
red by 5.3
2903
#28
9.41.3
10.111.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8
Third
4089
#32
11.80.2
10.210.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End4.3
red by 5.9
4180
#34
6.01.3
6.67.9
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned