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Red80
999822.9
999219.7
48817.2
Blue46
252220.5
297619.7
999412.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556101001508046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#18
22.91.9
24.626.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.0
End5.7
red by 2.5
2522
#30
20.50.8
22.321.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Second
19.73.1
8.711.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Level
2976
#29
19.70.8
23.422.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
488
#25
17.21.9
18.920.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End3.4
red by 5.2
9994
#24
12.00.8
11.911.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed