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Red36
281126.4
18996.1
469219.9
Blue53
131821.5
413120.8
746111.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566301001502003653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.1
21.920.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End7.7
red by 4.8
1318
#13
21.50.6
25.624.9
Auto2.9
Teleop12.8
End5.9
Second
4692
#11
19.91.1
21.620.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End5.9
blue by 0.8
4131
#21
20.80.6
21.621.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.7
End3.9
Third
1899
#34
6.11.1
9.48.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 5.3
7461
#26
11.40.6
12.111.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned