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Red43
992010.1
746111.4
406120.4
Blue26
314514.2
592017.6
498021.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801004326

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End2.4
blue by 1.2
4980
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.8
Second
7461
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 6.2
5920
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Third
9920
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 4.1
3145
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking odds76%HAB Docking odds