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Red30
998010.1
644213.8
607610.3
Blue27
451324.0
921610.1
906110.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364702060801003027

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6442
Unranked
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
blue by 10.3
4513
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End2.1
Second
6076
Unranked
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End3.8
red by 0.2
9061
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
9980
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9216
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking odds20%HAB Docking odds