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Red81
451220.0
445018.0
382623.6
Blue48
468215.0
746115.3
468115.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56422060808148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#19
23.61.2
17.718.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End3.9
red by 8.1
4681
#38
15.50.6
14.114.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Second
20.01.2
19.120.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End5.4
red by 4.7
7461
#37
15.30.6
12.212.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End4.2
Third
4450
#23
18.01.2
16.317.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.3
red by 3.0
4682
#24
15.00.6
13.313.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed