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Red64
420520.6
358818.5
48821.1
Blue79
291040.6
129416.1
558816.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59702040801006479

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#15
21.10.4
20.420.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End4.6
blue by 19.5
40.60.9
38.038.8
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.2
Second
4205
#14
20.60.4
16.717.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End6.7
red by 4.3
5588
#27
16.30.9
15.616.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End2.3
Third
3588
#16
18.50.4
18.518.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 2.4
1294
#26
16.10.9
12.613.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned