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Red84
382623.6
307016.1
252226.5
Blue56
711812.3
292825.2
368112.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6655204060801008456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.2
25.726.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 1.3
2928
#10
25.20.4
26.426.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Second
3826
#19
23.61.2
22.924.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End3.9
red by 10.7
3681
#30
12.90.4
13.312.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
3070
#33
16.11.4
13.915.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
red by 3.8
7118
#36
12.30.4
12.712.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed