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Red70
420520.6
451220.0
491124.8
Blue62
430919.3
762715.3
125821.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69582040801007062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.3
24.925.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End3.0
red by 3.6
1258
#12
21.20.5
20.821.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Second
4205
#14
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End6.7
red by 1.3
4309
#18
19.30.5
19.219.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Third
20.00.3
20.120.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End5.4
red by 4.7
7627
#34
15.30.5
14.815.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsEarned