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Red73
322319.8
406020.5
29449.8
Blue72
255718.9
592017.6
159519.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51582040801007372

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.6
19.820.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 1.3
1595
#18
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Second
19.80.6
19.019.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End5.4
red by 0.9
2557
#12
18.90.2
18.718.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Third
2944
#27
9.80.6
9.19.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 7.8
17.60.2
17.417.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3