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Red58
451319.2
446924.6
777616.8
Blue58
321823.5
498022.7
369310.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080905858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.1
24.624.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End7.5
red by 1.1
3218
#11
23.50.1
22.622.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
19.20.1
19.219.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 3.4
22.70.1
21.921.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
Third
7776
#21
16.80.1
16.816.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.9
red by 6.1
3693
#20
10.80.1
10.010.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.2