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Red61
451319.2
446924.6
777616.8
Blue29
214815.8
387614.3
644213.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64472040801006129

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.0
24.424.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End7.5
red by 8.7
2148
#19
15.80.3
16.015.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Second
19.20.0
19.119.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 5.0
3876
#10
14.30.3
14.514.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Third
7776
#21
16.80.0
16.716.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.9
red by 3.1
6442
#16
13.80.3
14.013.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0