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Red50
451319.2
446924.6
777616.8
Blue48
214815.8
387614.3
644213.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64462040801005048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.2
24.424.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End7.5
red by 8.7
2148
#19
15.80.1
15.715.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Second
19.20.2
19.118.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 5.0
3876
#10
14.30.1
14.214.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Third
7776
#21
16.80.2
16.716.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.9
red by 3.1
6442
#16
13.80.1
13.713.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0