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Red68
406119.2
37128.8
255718.9
Blue39
369310.8
451319.2
323815.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493810203060706839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.3
19.320.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.7
blue by 0.1
19.20.2
12.212.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
2557
#12
18.91.3
19.520.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 3.5
3238
#17
15.40.2
13.814.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Third
3712
#25
8.81.3
7.28.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 2.0
3693
#20
10.80.2
9.59.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed