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Red72
322018.1
446924.6
75315.2
Blue66
644213.8
322319.8
321823.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54510204060801007266

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.0
23.024.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End7.5
red by 1.1
3218
#11
23.51.1
19.921.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
3220
#15
18.11.0
14.915.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.4
blue by 1.7
19.81.1
16.117.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End5.4
Third
753
#22
15.21.0
13.114.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.4
red by 1.4
6442
#16
13.81.1
12.713.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsEarned