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Red47
37128.8
29449.8
406020.5
Blue42
612910.2
204637.3
290310.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406020801004742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
17.317.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.2
blue by 16.8
37.31.0
34.533.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End9.9
Second
2944
#27
9.80.3
12.312.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 0.6
2903
#13
10.41.0
9.48.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Third
3712
#25
8.80.3
8.48.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 1.4
6129
#24
10.21.7
13.011.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsEarned