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Red41
498022.7
387614.3
76967.1
Blue91
592017.6
78037.2
369310.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413302060804191

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
18.919.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
red by 5.1
17.60.0
13.313.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Second
3876
#10
14.30.3
10.811.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
red by 3.5
3693
#20
10.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
7696
#28
7.10.2
8.99.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 0.2
7803
#26
7.20.0
7.77.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed