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Red44
451319.2
406119.2
607610.3
Blue37
214726.3
612910.2
29449.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424802060804437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.3
12.412.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 7.1
2147
#14
26.30.6
22.321.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
19.20.3
19.920.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.7
red by 9.0
6129
#24
10.21.0
11.410.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
6076
#23
10.30.3
7.88.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End3.8
red by 0.5
2944
#27
9.80.6
12.111.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed