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Red77
321823.5
406020.5
214726.3
Blue40
29449.8
369310.8
592017.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6738102030506080907740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#14
26.30.9
23.924.8
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End3.4
red by 8.7
17.60.3
15.015.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Second
3218
#11
23.50.9
21.722.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
red by 12.7
3693
#20
10.80.3
9.39.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
20.50.9
17.618.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 10.7
2944
#27
9.80.3
11.311.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed