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Red47
498022.7
777616.8
37128.8
Blue65
290310.4
322018.1
451319.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474120305060704765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
21.321.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
red by 3.4
19.21.5
14.415.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
7776
#21
16.80.2
15.015.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.9
blue by 1.3
3220
#15
18.11.5
17.018.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.4
Third
3712
#25
8.80.2
8.18.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 1.6
2903
#13
10.41.5
7.89.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsEarned