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Red32
78037.2
322018.1
29449.8
Blue59
41049.7
214726.3
290719.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39542030506070803259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3220
#15
18.10.5
18.818.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.4
blue by 8.2
2147
#14
26.30.5
24.825.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
2944
#27
9.80.5
10.39.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 9.2
19.00.5
18.919.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End3.4
Third
7803
#26
7.20.5
7.46.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End2.4
blue by 2.5
4104
#29
9.70.5
7.68.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed