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Red81
290310.4
204637.3
592017.6
Blue40
644213.8
406119.2
612910.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625130407080908140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.5
33.835.3
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End9.9
red by 18.2
19.21.2
21.820.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Second
17.61.5
15.617.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
red by 3.8
6442
#16
13.81.2
15.113.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Third
2903
#13
10.41.5
9.310.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.2
red by 0.2
6129
#24
10.21.5
11.710.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed