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Red39
369310.8
214815.8
321823.5
Blue80
446924.6
451319.2
159519.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54633040507080903980

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#11
23.50.8
24.623.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
blue by 1.1
24.61.2
24.125.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End7.5
Second
2148
#19
15.80.8
16.115.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 3.5
1595
#18
19.31.2
17.919.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Third
3693
#20
10.80.8
10.29.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 8.5
19.21.2
17.318.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsEarned