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Red33
75315.2
612910.2
369310.8
Blue29
76967.1
321823.5
406119.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355620304050607080903329

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#22
15.20.0
13.913.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.4
blue by 8.3
3218
#11
23.51.8
23.922.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
3693
#20
10.80.0
9.49.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 8.4
19.21.8
20.618.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Third
6129
#24
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End2.6
red by 3.1
7696
#28
7.11.8
8.97.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed