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Red62
498022.7
322018.1
644213.8
Blue45
387614.3
78037.2
159519.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642203050607080906245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
21.121.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
red by 3.4
1595
#18
19.30.3
19.119.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Second
3220
#15
18.10.2
18.318.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.4
red by 3.8
3876
#10
14.30.4
14.214.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Third
6442
#16
13.80.2
13.814.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
red by 6.5
7803
#26
7.20.3
6.97.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed