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Red48
322018.1
323815.4
290719.0
Blue29
451319.2
644213.8
29449.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47442030405060704829

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.2
17.417.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 0.2
19.20.8
13.412.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
3220
#15
18.10.2
14.414.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.4
red by 4.3
6442
#16
13.80.8
13.012.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Third
3238
#17
15.40.2
12.412.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.2
red by 5.5
2944
#27
9.80.8
14.814.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed