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Red64
214726.3
78037.2
255718.9
Blue24
607610.3
76967.1
214815.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45361020304050606424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#14
26.31.2
20.321.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End3.4
red by 10.5
2148
#19
15.80.7
17.116.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Second
2557
#12
18.91.2
17.118.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 8.6
6076
#23
10.30.7
7.36.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Third
7803
#26
7.21.2
5.36.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End2.4
red by 0.2
7696
#28
7.10.7
10.19.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed