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Red84
592013.3
78035.0
498017.3
Blue16
546815.1
37127.1
36939.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3734203040506070808416

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#10
17.30.8
18.117.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.9
End4.4
red by 2.2
15.11.1
12.711.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.5
Second
5920
#23
13.30.8
8.37.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.7
red by 4.1
3693
#21
9.21.8
10.89.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Third
7803
#30
5.00.8
8.17.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 2.2
3712
#31
7.11.8
8.56.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed