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Red56
281115.7
159513.6
413119.6
Blue48
644323.0
410410.8
292613.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5148304060705648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#13
19.60.1
18.718.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.6
End2.9
blue by 3.5
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End9.2
Second
2811
#12
15.70.1
11.911.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End5.3
red by 2.2
2926
#29
13.40.0
10.410.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End3.1
Third
13.60.2
17.717.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.5
red by 2.8
4104
#28
10.80.0
11.611.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned