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Red54
529514.6
260511.3
413119.6
Blue68
498017.3
321817.3
214816.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652204060801005468

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#13
19.60.7
19.320.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.6
End2.9
red by 2.2
4980
#10
17.31.0
16.817.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.9
End4.4
Second
5295
#17
14.60.7
13.514.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End5.6
blue by 2.7
3218
#14
17.30.9
16.817.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Third
2605
#24
11.30.7
11.011.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End3.4
blue by 5.0
2148
#25
16.21.0
15.216.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsEarned