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Red40
777612.7
131822.4
410410.8
Blue48
491118.5
37127.1
322014.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51411020306070804048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
23.723.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End5.2
red by 3.9
4911
#16
18.50.4
18.518.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End4.0
Second
7776
#27
12.70.6
13.112.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 1.4
3220
#19
14.10.4
14.014.4
Auto1.2
Teleop8.3
End4.5
Third
4104
#28
10.80.6
11.410.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
red by 3.6
3712
#31
7.10.4
6.77.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed