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Red9
107310.2
73145.4
615312.6
Blue3
346710.0
5018.4
39867.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414252030354093

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.63.4
13.410.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.1
red by 2.6
3467
#15
10.04.2
14.510.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Second
10.23.4
14.811.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.3
red by 1.8
501
#17
8.44.2
13.69.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Third
7314
#10
5.43.4
11.48.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End1.8
blue by 2.3
3986
#21
7.74.2
13.08.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed