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Red12
2464.3
50911.1
151711.1
Blue23
5814.7
19010.6
568714.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4349102030607080901223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.13.2
13.310.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End3.5
blue by 3.6
58
#2
14.72.7
14.912.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End6.6
Second
509
#8
11.13.2
13.810.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End2.3
blue by 3.3
14.32.7
17.414.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Third
246
#22
4.33.2
13.910.7
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 6.2
190
#9
10.62.7
14.912.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed