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Red76
282630.1
591418.9
75968.4
Blue69
76299.7
590321.3
198633.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57633040506070807669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.12.0
27.629.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End9.0
blue by 2.9
33.10.6
29.830.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End12.0
Second
5914
#36
18.91.8
16.017.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 2.4
5903
#14
21.30.8
19.620.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End5.2
Third
7596
#53
8.44.1
8.412.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 1.3
7629
#42
9.71.4
9.711.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned