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Red40
130620.1
309015.8
631714.6
Blue23
25319.5
638114.5
500311.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533602060801004023

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#44
20.10.9
21.220.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
red by 5.6
6381
#43
14.51.3
13.011.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Second
3090
#17
15.81.1
12.211.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End3.2
red by 3.9
5003
#34
11.91.3
12.311.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.8
Third
6317
#37
14.60.8
16.816.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 5.1
2531
#51
9.51.1
9.18.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed