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Red54
423919.9
638114.5
401116.6
Blue78
663018.1
306127.6
481817.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50592030407080901005478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4239
#47
19.90.5
19.019.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End4.2
blue by 7.6
3061
#18
27.61.3
23.024.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End5.9
Second
4011
#46
16.60.8
15.916.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 1.5
6630
#27
18.11.3
18.019.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End6.6
Third
6381
#43
14.50.8
12.213.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.8
blue by 2.6
4818
#48
17.11.3
14.916.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned