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Red38
462416.3
297713.8
309015.8
Blue65
702126.0
17119.4
402118.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43632030507080901003865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#26
16.30.2
13.112.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.6
blue by 9.6
7021
#21
26.00.4
26.526.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End8.0
Second
3090
#17
15.80.3
13.513.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 3.6
171
#12
19.40.4
14.614.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
2977
#39
13.80.2
14.113.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 4.9
4021
#33
18.70.4
18.318.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed