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Red48
75968.4
635916.9
429618.8
Blue74
478616.2
130620.1
9320.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020804874

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4296
#30
18.80.3
14.314.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.8
blue by 1.3
1306
#44
20.11.0
18.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Second
6359
#31
16.90.3
14.214.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 3.1
93
#22
20.01.1
18.419.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End4.5
Third
7596
#53
8.40.5
12.412.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 7.8
4786
#23
16.21.0
16.117.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned