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Red55
501915.2
233823.4
162522.3
Blue52
597617.1
590321.3
282630.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6277401005552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
21.921.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
blue by 6.8
30.11.8
31.229.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End9.0
Second
22.30.6
21.520.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
red by 0.9
5903
#14
21.31.8
22.620.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End5.2
Third
5019
#35
15.20.6
15.114.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End3.7
blue by 1.9
5976
#11
17.13.0
18.815.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsMissed90%HAB Docking oddsEarned