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Red59
743216.2
465527.9
401116.6
Blue44
64815.3
501915.2
429618.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533902060805944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#13
27.90.4
24.624.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End9.1
red by 9.2
4296
#30
18.80.1
11.011.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Second
4011
#46
16.60.6
13.213.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
red by 1.3
648
#25
15.30.1
12.312.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
Third
7432
#32
16.20.5
12.713.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 1.0
5019
#35
15.20.1
13.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed