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Red21
61666.6
335221.5
405414.7
Blue48
233823.4
26918.2
297713.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445502060801002148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3352
#29
21.51.6
17.115.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 1.8
23.40.4
22.221.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
4054
#20
14.72.2
12.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End4.3
blue by 3.5
269
#28
18.20.3
14.914.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
6166
#54
6.61.6
12.310.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 7.3
2977
#39
13.80.5
15.014.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsMissed