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Red35
17119.4
64815.3
663018.1
Blue78
162522.3
96731.7
478616.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57722040801003578

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#12
19.41.6
18.917.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End4.3
blue by 12.3
967
#10
31.70.4
30.631.1
Auto5.0
Teleop20.3
End6.4
Second
6630
#27
18.11.6
18.817.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End6.6
blue by 4.1
22.30.4
21.922.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Third
648
#25
15.31.6
15.914.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
blue by 0.9
4786
#23
16.20.4
15.916.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned