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Red55
16720.2
597617.1
405414.7
Blue54
638114.5
335221.5
130620.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535702040801005554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#6
20.20.1
21.521.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.4
blue by 1.3
3352
#29
21.50.0
20.120.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Second
5976
#11
17.10.2
17.417.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End6.6
blue by 3.0
1306
#44
20.10.0
20.520.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
4054
#20
14.70.2
11.611.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End4.3
red by 0.2
6381
#43
14.50.0
12.913.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed