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Red44
208121.6
372312.7
392829.1
Blue95
702126.0
11126.7
109117.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656650607080904495

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#16
29.11.4
28.326.9
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End8.5
red by 2.4
111
#8
26.71.2
20.121.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.3
End5.3
Second
2081
#38
21.61.3
21.320.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End6.5
blue by 4.4
7021
#21
26.01.1
24.225.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End8.0
Third
3723
#50
12.72.0
12.010.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.2
blue by 4.7
1091
#24
17.41.1
18.719.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsEarned