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Red50
481817.1
641213.0
162522.3
Blue67
248130.1
402118.7
462416.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485530406070805067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.1
19.920.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 7.8
30.11.1
22.523.6
Auto4.7
Teleop20.1
End5.2
Second
4818
#48
17.10.1
13.613.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 1.6
4021
#33
18.71.2
16.617.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Third
6412
#52
13.00.2
12.012.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 3.4
4624
#26
16.31.5
12.914.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed