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Red45
250619.7
207719.1
642117.0
Blue62
167515.7
93034.2
70615.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525602040801001201401604562

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#24
19.70.4
15.815.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End4.8
blue by 14.6
930
#1
34.20.2
28.929.1
Auto3.6
Teleop24.2
End6.5
Second
2077
#35
19.10.3
19.519.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.8
End2.6
red by 3.4
1675
#46
15.70.3
12.512.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Third
6421
#28
17.00.5
13.813.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 1.5
706
#21
15.50.2
11.812.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed