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Red77
512514.7
657423.3
173230.6
Blue5
66433.4
790010.4
171411.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573710203050708090775

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.3
25.626.9
Auto2.9
Teleop18.5
End9.2
red by 19.2
1714
#45
11.53.4
13.29.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.5
Second
23.31.5
16.117.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 12.9
7900
#20
10.43.4
10.87.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Third
5125
#31
14.71.5
12.213.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.6
red by 11.4
6643
#53
3.43.4
11.58.1
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed