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Red54
791513.1
125931.1
478615.4
Blue26
250619.7
743212.7
283020.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54500204060801005426

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#11
31.10.2
27.327.5
Auto5.7
Teleop20.9
End4.5
red by 10.2
2830
#33
20.91.9
19.117.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Second
4786
#10
15.40.2
14.114.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End5.9
blue by 4.3
2506
#24
19.72.0
17.915.8
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Third
7915
#37
13.12.7
13.110.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.9
red by 0.4
7432
#43
12.78.7
16.47.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed