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Red46
369213.4
42478.7
173230.6
Blue26
216916.1
583711.4
27913.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060804626

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.3
25.124.8
Auto2.9
Teleop18.5
End9.2
red by 14.5
2169
#29
16.11.2
11.410.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Second
3692
#40
13.40.5
12.512.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Level
279
#44
13.51.3
14.413.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End5.5
Third
4247
#49
8.70.5
12.512.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.2
blue by 2.6
5837
#50
11.41.2
14.513.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed